domingo, 14 de enero de 2007

Receta para crecer

Priscilla Murphy
Santiago
.
Hace décadas que los economistas discuten por qué América Latina perdió el tren de la historia y no se desarrolló como sus vecinos del Norte. Hoy, estudios y más estudios intentan explicar por qué la región no logra competir con los nuevos gigantes emergentes, China e India, que crecen en torno al 10% por año hace más de una década. La novedad es que dos gobiernos de la región, Brasil y Chile, se proponen dar el salto de la teoría a la práctica con el anuncio de paquetes tendientes a impulsar el crecimiento.
.
A fines de noviembre, después de una caída de 2,6% en la producción industrial en octubre, el ministro de Hacienda de Chile, Andrés Velasco, anunció una nueva etapa de su plan Chile Compite, concentrada en empujar el crecimiento del país, que está por debajo del previsto para este año. La mejora del PIB, de 6,2% en 2004 y 6,3% el año pasado, bajará a entre 4,75% y 5,25% este año, según el Banco Central chileno.
.
Aunque ya se ve una recuperación en datos mensuales, Velasco anunció una serie de medidas para “acelerar el paso”. Por ejemplo, la emisión de US$ 700 millones en deuda pública el próximo año para dar liquidez al mercado de capitales. Para estimular la inversión producticva, amplió la gama de empresas con acceso a exenciones fiscales en la compra de activos. “Es un incentivo directo para inversiones en activos físicos, que promoverá la inversión especialmente en empresas pequeñas”, dijo Velasco en el anuncio.
.
El plan incluye un porcentaje uniforme de 30% en crédito tributario para empresas extranjeras que pagan impuestos en el exterior, en un intento por lograr que multinacionales inviertan en otros países desde Chile. Y junto al proyecto de ley para la segunda reforma del mercado de capitales, el gobierno amplió los beneficios tributarios para fondos de capital de riesgo y aumentó el plazo de exención para empresas que abren su capital en bolsa.
.
La lista de Velasco es larga e incluye una red de fibra óptica para instituciones públicas y la reducción de 30 a 10 alumnos por cada computadora en la red escolar con la compra de 260.000 equipos. Luego del anuncio, Velasco viajó a Dinamarca para estudiar el sistema laboral con miras a montar un modelo similar en Chile.
.
Las medidas fueron elogiadas, pero la duda es si serán suficientes para dar un salto. “Con suerte, Chile va a crecer 4,5% este año, mientras la economia global se expandirá más de 5%”, dice Felipe Larraín, profesor de la Universidad Católica de Chile. “No es que sea un desastre, pero ciertamente no es bueno”.
.
“Es poco probable (que las medidas de Chile Compite) conduzcan a una aceleración del crecimiento”, dice, considerando que la economía apresurará su ritmo el próximo año, pero a causa de un incentivo fiscal. Propone medidas como la ampliación de benefícios tributarios para inversiones y del impuesto de timbres y estampillas, un tributo sobre la concesión de crédito de 1,6% que el gobierno promete reducir a 1,2%. Según Larraín, sería un impulso para que las pequeñas y medianas empresas accedan al mercado formal de créditos, sin depender de especuladores.
.
En Brasil, pasadas las elecciones, el presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva debe cumplir su principal promesa: “destrabar” la economía. A fines de noviembre, el ministro de Hacienda, Guido Mantega, anticipó algunas medidas de un paquete en esa línea. La idea del gobierno es aumentar la inversión del actual 21% del PIB reduciendo gastos del gobierno. “Debemos caminar hacia una inversión del 25% del PIB”, dijo recientemente Mantega a la agencia oficial de noticias del país. “Este aumento dará un equilibrio, aumentará la oferta del país y nos permitirá crecer 4%, 5% o 6%, sin inflación.”
.
Las medidas con relación al gasto público incluirán la construcción de autopistas y puentes, un aumento en la capacidad de endeudamiento de los estados y posiblemente una capitalización de la Caixa Econômica Federal, el segundo mayor banco estatal de Brasil. Pero no incluye una nueva reforma del Sistema Previsional, lo que muchos especialistas consideran fundamental. “Es ridículo que el ministro se proponga aumentar el crecimiento sin resolver el déficit previsional, que causa un agujero de US$ 47.000 millones todos los años”, dice Alfredo Reis, profesor de Brazilian Business School, en São Paulo.
.
Según Mantega, el paquete incluirá incentivos tributarios y elevará la expansión del PIB a 5% en 2007. “Tenemos que reducir costos en la economía”.
.
Receta conocida
.
El Fondo Monetario Internacional también estudia una receta para estimular el crecimiento de la región. En noviembre, Anoop Singh, director del FMI para el Hemisferio Occidental, publicó un estudio en sociedad con el investigador Martín Cerisola con sugerencias para que pueda reducir la brecha con los demás países emergentes. Algunas son las de siempre: reducir el tamaño del Estado, adoptar la independencia del Banco Central e invertir en infraestructura. Otras son más innovadoras, como redireccionar las exenciones y estímulos fiscales de las clases media y alta hacia los más pobres.


39 comentarios:

Anónimo dijo...

Thanks for sharing excellent informations. Your website is so cool.
I

am impressed by the details that you’ve on this web site.
It reveals how nicely you

perceive this subject. Bookmarked this web page, will come back for
extra articles.

You, my friend, ROCK! I found simply the info I already searched all over
the place

and just couldn't come across. What a great web site.
my page > Ford Gatherings Spain

Anónimo dijo...

My developer is trying to persuade me to move to .net from PHP.
I have always disliked the

idea because of the costs. But he's tryiong none the less. I've been
using Movable-type on numerous websites for about a year and am anxious about

switching to another platform. I have heard excellent things about
blogengine.net. Is

there a way I can import all my wordpress posts into it?
Any help would be really appreciated!
Have a look at my site ; 10 day weather valencia pa

Anónimo dijo...

Have you ever thought about adding a little bit
more than just your articles? I mean, what you say

is fundamental and everything. Nevertheless think about if you
added some great photos or video clips to give your
posts more,

"pop"! Your content is excellent but with pics and clips, this website could

undeniably be one of the very best in its niche. Awesome blog!
Here is my web-site ... pamplona spain to bilboa map

Anónimo dijo...

There are some interesting closing

dates in this article however I don’t know if I see all of them heart to heart.
There may be some validity however I will take maintain
opinion till I look into it

further. Good article , thanks and we would like more!
Added to FeedBurner as well
Feel free to surf my web site 4 letter words with k and j in them

Anónimo dijo...

Nice post. I be taught one thing tougher on different blogs everyday.
It'll always be stimulating to learn content from different

writers and observe somewhat

one thing from their store. I’d desire to use some with the

content on my weblog whether or not you don’t mind. Natually I’ll

provide you with a link in your net blog. Thanks for sharing.
My web blog - leaplogic.net

Anónimo dijo...

I simply had to say thanks again. I'm not certain what I would've used without the entire secrets contributed by you directly on

such a question. It became a horrifying

situation in my view, but

seeing the skilled style you solved that

took me to jump for contentment. I am thankful for this guidance and then have high hopes

you find out what a

great job that you're undertaking training the others through the use of your website. I am sure you haven't met all of

us.
Check out my webpage ; 4 hour work week ebook free download

Anónimo dijo...

hi!,I really like your writing so so much! proportion we

keep in touch more approximately your post

on AOL? I require an expert in this space to unravel my

problem. May be that is you! Taking a look forward to see you.
My blog post ... 4 letter words starting with ez

Anónimo dijo...

Of course, what a magnificent blog and enlightening posts, I
will bookmark your

website.All the Best!
Feel free to surf my web blog ... cheap flights to spain bilbao

Anónimo dijo...

Your home is valueble for me. Thanks!…
Here is my web site :: salamanca spain education

Anónimo dijo...

I have been exploring for a bit for any high quality articles or blog posts in this sort of house .
Exploring in Yahoo I

ultimately stumbled upon this website. Reading this info So
i am

happy to exhibit that I've a very

excellent uncanny feeling I came upon just what I needed. I most

surely will

make certain to don’t forget this site and give it a glance regularly.
My web-site - www.Moderndayscribe.Com

Anónimo dijo...

Fantastic beat ! I wish to apprentice while you amend your

web site, how can i subscribe for a blog site?
The account aided me a

acceptable deal. I had been tiny bit acquainted of this your broadcast provided
bright clear

idea
my page :: http://gcom.acel.sdsu.edu/wiki/index.php?title=Top_Travel_Places_In_Spain

Anónimo dijo...

Heya i’m for the primary time here. I came across this board and I in finding It

truly useful & it helped me out a lot. I'm hoping to offer one thing back and aid others such as you helped me.
Have a look at my weblog ; http://marianalockett.blogspot.ru/2006/12/spanglish.html?m=1

Anónimo dijo...

Wow that was odd. I just wrote an extremely long comment but
after I clicked

submit my comment didn't appear. Grrrr... well I'm not writing
all that over again. Anyways, just wanted to say excellent
blog!
My web site : italy v spain player rating

Anónimo dijo...

I will right away grab your rss as I can not find your e-mail subscription

link or e-newsletter service. Do you have any? Kindly let me know
so that I

could subscribe. Thanks.
My weblog :: http://portomoniz.inventforum.com/profile.php?mode=viewprofile&u=29223&sid=d9a05820cffbbecacc0fc8bc0992d8c6

Anónimo dijo...

Howdy! Do you use Twitter? I'd like to follow you if that would be

okay. I'm absolutely enjoying your blog and look forward to new updates.
My web site :: jbnodong.org

Anónimo dijo...

Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your weblog and wanted to
say that I have really enjoyed surfing around your blog posts.
After all I will be subscribing to your

feed and I hope you write again soon!
Also visit my web page ... spain's history in 1600's

Anónimo dijo...

I loved as much as you'll receive carried out right here. The sketch is tasteful, your authored

subject matter stylish. nonetheless, you command get bought an nervousness

over that you wish be delivering the following. unwell unquestionably come more formerly again as exactly

the same nearly a lot often inside case you shield this increase.

my webpage http://makealeftturn.blogspot.co.uk

Anónimo dijo...

Hi this is kind of of off topic but I was wondering if blogs
use WYSIWYG editors or if you have to manually code with HTML.

I'm starting a blog soon but have

no coding skills so I wanted to get advice from someone with

experience. Any help would be greatly appreciated!

Check out my weblog interviewgeeks.blogspot.ru

Anónimo dijo...

It’s really a nice and useful piece of info. I’m glad that you shared this

useful info with us. Please keep us up to date like this.
Thank you for

sharing.
My web blog ... blogtool.wiki.kennisnet.nl

Anónimo dijo...

Unquestionably believe that which you said.
Your favorite reason seemed to be on the
internet the easiest thing to be aware of. I say to you, I

certainly get irked while people think about worries that they plainly don't know

about. You managed to hit the nail upon the top and also defined out the whole thing without having side-effects , people can take a signal. Will likely be back to get more. Thanks
Stop by my web site ; bloatalrecall.blogspot.co.uk

Anónimo dijo...

very good submit, i actually love this website,

carry on it
My blog post ... Zerocool.Cs.Umbc.Edu

Anónimo dijo...

Greetings I am so grateful I found your website, I really found you by error, while I was looking on Google for something

else, Regardless I am here now and would just like
to say many thanks for a incredible post and a all round entertaining blog (I
also love the theme/design), I don’t have time to

browse it all at the minute but I have bookmarked it and also

added in your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read much

more, Please do keep up the fantastic work.
My web page : http://orthowiki.pl/

Anónimo dijo...

I do agree with all the ideas you have presented in your post.
They are really

convincing and will definitely work. Still, the posts are
very short for beginners. Could you please extend them a bit from next time?
Thanks for the post.
Here is my page : guamsustainableag.org

Anónimo dijo...

I’m no longer positive where you're getting your

information, but good topic. I needs to spend some time finding out

much more or figuring out more. Thanks for fantastic information I was looking for

this information for my mission.
my webpage > pozvanete.bg

Anónimo dijo...

My husband and i felt really ecstatic Emmanuel managed to do

his investigations by way of the ideas he made when using the blog.
It is now and again perplexing to simply be giving away

secrets which usually a number of people might have been trying
to sell. And

now we realize we have the blog owner to thank because of
that. The most important illustrations

you have made, the straightforward website menu, the friendships you will make it possible to promote - it's

everything exceptional, and it is facilitating our son in addition to the family reason why this article is cool, and that's



seriously mandatory. Many thanks for all the pieces!
Also visit my page - http://icon-theme.freedesktop.org/

Anónimo dijo...

Good site! I really love how it is easy on
my eyes and the data are well written.

I'm wondering how I could be notified whenever a new post has been made. I've subscribed

to your feed which must do the trick! Have a nice day!
Also see my web page > Ante.Dyndns.org

Anónimo dijo...

Hello there! I know this is kinda off topic

but I was wondering if you knew where I could find a captcha plugin for my comment
form? I'm using the same

blog platform as yours and I'm having trouble finding one?
Thanks a lot!
Check out my web page :: authenticlinks.com

Anónimo dijo...

magnificent points altogether, you just gained a

emblem new reader. What could you suggest about your

put up that you just made a few days ago? Any

positive?
my web site - elg.massey.ac.nz

Anónimo dijo...

hello there and thank you for your information - I have definitely picked
up anything new from right here. I did however expertise some technical points using this site, as
I experienced to reload the site many times previous

to I could get it to load properly. I had been
wondering if your hosting is OK? Not that

I am complaining, but slow loading instances times will often affect your

placement in google and could damage your high-quality score if advertising
and

marketing with Adwords. Well I am adding this RSS to my email and can look out for

much more of your respective fascinating content.
Make sure you update

this again soon..
My site > blogspot.ru

Anónimo dijo...

A formidable share, I just given this onto a colleague who was doing just
a little evaluation on this. And he in actual fact bought me breakfast because I discovered it
for him.. smile. So let me reword that: Thnx for the
treat! However yeah Thnkx for

spending the time to debate this, I really feel strongly about
it and love reading

extra on this topic. If possible, as you turn out to be experience,
would you mind updating your blog with more

particulars? It's extremely helpful for me. Massive thumb up for this

blog publish!
My website :: http://www.zkes.tn.edu.tw/alumnus/index.php?title=User_talk:HelenRussell75

Anónimo dijo...

Hi there, just became alert to your blog through Google, and found that it's really

informative. I am going to watch out for brussels. I will be grateful if you continue

this in future. A lot of people will be benefited from your writing. Cheers!
My web site - blogspot.ru

Anónimo dijo...

Hi, Neat post. There's a problem along with your website in internet explorer, would check this… IE still is the

marketplace leader and a good section of folks will omit your excellent writing because of this problem.
Also see my web site - wiki.Gangwars.de

Anónimo dijo...

Hmm is anyone else having problems with the images on this
blog loading? I'm trying

to figure out if its a problem on my end or if it's the blog.
Any responses would be greatly appreciated.
My website: www.tspntv.com

Anónimo dijo...

This design is spectacular! You obviously know how to

keep a reader entertained. Between your wit and your videos,
I was almost moved to start my own blog (well,

almost...HaHa!) Great job. I really enjoyed what you had to say, and more than

that, how you presented it. Too cool!
My blog : checkoutuk.co.uk

Anónimo dijo...

very good publish, i actually love this web site,


carry on it
Feel free to visit my blog ; zgcxw.nykdvbth.rnuwjbu.fccj.Igqnd.bbcg.Forum.mythem.es

Anónimo dijo...

Today, I went to the beach with my kids. I found a sea shell and gave it to my 4
year

old daughter and said "You can hear the ocean if you put this to your ear." She
placed the shell to her ear and

screamed. There was a hermit crab inside and it pinched her ear.
She never wants to go back! LoL I know this is

entirely off topic but I had to tell someone!
My website ... imaerowiki.com

Anónimo dijo...

A person essentially help to make seriously articles I would
state. This is the very

first time I frequented your website page and thus far? I surprised with
the research you made to

create this particular publish amazing. Great

job!

My blog - http://www.premium-bookmarks.de

Anónimo dijo...

I simply couldn't depart your web site prior to suggesting that

I really loved the usual info an individual

supply on your guests? Is gonna be back steadily in order to check up on new posts

My weblog: http://storefive.com/

Anónimo dijo...

Wow that was odd. I just wrote an very long comment but after I clicked

submit my comment didn't appear. Grrrr... well I'm not writing all that over again.
Anyway, just wanted to say wonderful blog!

Here is my web site ... http://booklubusa.com/